“Concentration is the key to success in politics, entrepreneurship and work, and in everything else in life”, Ralph Waldo Emerson.
THERE is calmness on the Gulf waters, at least due to the reconciliatory statements between the parties in dispute in the hot pan of the Gulf region, especially those we recently heard and read between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
We cannot ignore the clear volatility in Donald Trump’s administration in the entire matter, considering his administration has not left any aspect of confidence in their behavior and the fact that the Donald is currently facing a difficult test in his political career at the White House.
The truth be told, Trump and his administration haven’t been loyal to the expected levels toward their allies in the Gulf; he is no longer someone to trust. At the same time, he hasn’t sowed anything his allies would depend on. To put things into more perspective, the region is suffering from two dominant issues, which turn to strengthen Iran’s position in the regional politics.
Those two issues are: the war in Yemen and the Gulf crisis that have weakened the hands of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in facing Iran due to the unnecessary war in Yemen that was meant to achieve several known objectives. Unfortunately, it has continued in an incomprehensible manner and proven to be costly for the Arab coalition, while its prolongation is totally unnecessary.
Withdrawal from the war in an organized manner would protect rights a million times more than its prolongation, given that the war is being fought against militias who have nothing to lose, and the fact that Iran manipulates its decisions, something the Arab coalition could also do by isolating the militias so as to incur lesser costs than the way the whole crisis is transpiring.
With regard to the GCC crisis, it has managed to kill several aspirations of the people of this region, and even if we avoid the blame game, the fact remains that GCC countries need to understand that the crisis has opened cracks that are difficult to cover. Every party in this unfortunate crisis should endeavor to resolve it in whichever way possible. It is incomprehensible for this crisis to continue the same way the war in Yemen has lasted, considering the financial, political and social burden the region continues to bear. Wisdom needs to take over the scene, because Iran is playing in the court of the GCC, not because of its strength but division.
The outcome of America’s hesitance and slackness in fulfilling its mandate in the region has led its allies to depend on their own; thus the amicable statements between the parties in conflict. Here, I mean all concerned countries, and not a specific one. Iran has all along been campaigning for the importance of dialogue, and that is what the regional countries are currently doing but in a different format.
In case dialogue becomes the way forward, there are lots of thorny issues to be dealt with. Iran, on one side, has the dialogue cards in Sanaa, Baghdad, Damascus and Beirut, and can use its influence in resolving the thorny issues in a smooth and smart manner. Iran does not fight direct, she uses her tools to fight, and those tools can be bought by anyone in a bid to pull the carpet under the feet of Iran. In politics, not everything that glitters is gold.
By Yousef Awadh Al-Azmi