THE insistence of the Iranian regime to confront the international community will not lead to the ‘Divine Triumph’ it has been dreaming of. It is really too late for the Mullahs to stop the internal violence they caused.
The more the ball of popular anger rolls, the bigger it becomes due to the deterioration in the value of the Iranian currency and shortage of commodities in markets. This is in addition to the tendency of other countries to suspend commercial relations with Iran according to recent American sanctions.
Iranian Minister of Foreign Affairs Muhammad Jawad Zarif denied holding meetings with US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo or between American President Donald Trump and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani on the sideline of the annual United Nations assembly. It is a dismissal of dialogue between Iran and any of the countries which cannot sacrifice their relations with America in favor of their relations with Iran.
On this issue, there are many lessons that Iran must learn to avoid repeating the experiences of other countries. It is important for Iran to learn how to avoid the negative consequences of the policy of dismissal and arrogance implemented by a country like Cuba from 1959 to 1995 or the choice of North Korea to keep on challenging the entire world and develop nuclear weapons for six decades. It is essential for Iran to be aware of the miserable end of the Iraqi regime led by Saddam Hussein; thereby, making the country a target of economic sanctions for 14 years.
The aforementioned experiences ended through the submission of the arrogant to measures specified by the international community, leading to global stability. Failed experiences ended by giving up the expansionist projects, blackmail and troubles or through the fall of the regime, just like what happened to the regime of Iraq that is no longer united.
Venezuela is another example where inflation is expected to reach one million percent by the end of 2018 and its people are suffering from choking crises which developed into major disorder that is paving the way for civil war.
Iran has to keep this example in mind because the confrontation between a regime and multi-ethnic people will only lead to massive chaos and civil war which will result in tragedy. This tragedy will leave dark shadows in the entire region taking into consideration the potential tsunami of refugees, similar to what occurred in Syria and Iraq.
Thus, negotiation between Iran and the United States of America will not happen if the Iranian regime continues to instigate disputes and sectarian crises in the region and adopt the arrogant policy in challenging the international community.
Therefore, the only way to get out of this dilemma is to support the Iranian people in their bid to get rid of the regime before popular anger turns into a devastating civil war which will make the region and the entire world face a new tsunami of refugees that cannot be compared to those in Iraq and Syria.
By Ahmed Al-Jarallah
Editor-in-Chief, the Arab Times