IS IT not time yet for Yemen to loosen up on the vain Houthi-Saleh bet on the element of time that has been always against them since the start of the crisis?
After one year and a half of war, during which the rebels tried to spread their fictitious control over the southern gate of the Arabian Peninsula to make it the entry point for Iran into the area, it has been proven by blood that this Arab nation is not an easy prey for anyone, even some of its children.
Yemenis have also proven they have learned from history, especially the lesson from Sayf bin Dhi-Yazan (Himyarite king of Yemen who lived between 516 and 574 CE). They will never commit the same historical mistake, regardless of the magnitude of their losses and the difficult circumstances they experienced. How could they do so if their ally is as strong as the Arab coalition?
The dual rebels — the Houthi rebels and ousted Yemeni president Ali Saleh —were misled when they assumed that the global oil price decline and talks about the financial deficit among members of the Arab coalition would help them achieve their objective. In reality, the objective they have been trying to realize is not less than a dream in one of the summer nights. It will never materialize in any form. Perhaps, this is the reason why they turned several times against the outcome of the Yemeni-Yemeni negotiation summit in Kuwait. They flouted every peaceful attempt to stop the war and they disregarded the ceasefire agreement many times.
At the end, they discovered that the coalition, Yemen’s legitimate government and the national resistance returned to war with the same strength they had when they entered it on the first day. Actually, they became more powerful due to the return of several areas to the legitimate government’s administration, while they continue to shrink.
Indeed, the global oil price decline has some negative effects on the budget of the coalition countries; but in reality such consequences will not make the coalition relinquish its authority or handover the Arabian Peninsula to Iran.
The ramifications of the oil price decline will not prompt the coalition countries to allow the recurrence of Iraq’s experiment caused by the trust of the United States of America as it handed over Iraq on a silver platter to the regime in Iran.
The coalition countries will never allow repetition of the Lebanese experiment, as well as betting on illusionary considerations such as those based on its political system and sectarianism which transformed Lebanon into a farm ruled by Hezbollah that has direct links with Iran, let alone the recurrence of Syria’s experiment towards regional political balances.
The Arab coalition countries have tried all these experiments. The results were catastrophic, especially for pan-Arabism security as a whole. In fact, these experiments produced different forms of extremism that have never been witnessed in the Arab world since the fall of the Ottoman Empire which Persia is trying to replace with their empire. They will use the Arabian Peninsula as the ‘gate’ through which they will infiltrate into Islamic holy places and the global oil storage.
Based on the proverb, “Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me,” the coalition of Arab nations will continue working on its project to return Yemen to the Arab wings regardless of the financial losses which are considered secondary losses and they do not affect the financial status of the coalition members.
Furthermore, the current price of oil is better than when the war against the rebels started. Without any doubt, the rebels have no future. This means their rebels’ bets are considered a mirage because the losses that Yemen will incur together with the members of the Arab coalition will be triple of what Yemen is paying today if it succumbs to the enemy and forces of destruction.
Here were are, Lebanon is engulfed with debts that reached about $80 billion due to the repercussions of Hezbollah’s hijacking of the country. Iraq is supposed to be the richest Arab country economically and financially due to its huge oil reserves; but it is currently sinking due to debts caused by Iran’s agents as a result of looting for the past 13 years, rendering Iraq to have a debt of about $225 billion.
If these results stand before leaders of the coalition of Arab nations, will the oil price decline prevent them from spending several billions to thwart Iran’s expansionism scheme?
The dreams of bats will never materialize, as long as the majority of Yemenis believe they are engaged in a conflict that will determine the destiny of their country against the minority — those who decided to allow themselves to become tools in the hands of Arab’s enemies in history, such as Iran’s regime.
By Ahmed Al-Jarallah
Editor-in-Chief, the Arab Times