Prudent political analyses concerning daily events, and talks of intertwined global politics require real-time scrutiny that links events either in the region or within the foreign horizon of the wide global politics.
Accuracy is needed when processing, analyzing and organizing fast-moving events so that a balance can be achieved between the local and foreign inputs. Therefore, they should be dealt with using a formula which needs to be solved even though its solution might be far more complex than the mathematical and physics formulae.
Currently, there are ongoing conflicts which need to end; however, due to the complex political calculations, the end to such conflicts become difficult unless a balance is achieved between intertwining interests, irrespective of who will be appeased and who will be angered.
Therefore, when it comes to conflicts for which no drop of blood has been shed, dialogue and understanding should play an effective role at the round table. The size of quotas in certain agendas should facilitate the mechanism for ending such conflicts.
This would require a neutral party that is trusted by the conflicting parties and to guarantee agreement. Instinctively, this neutral party can never secure agreement without receiving actual guarantees as opposed to verbal ones from the conflicting parties.
However, in military conflicts, which transcend the geographical borders and cause displacement, massacres, injuries and collapse of infrastructure of the conflict zone, there is a constant need to deal with them in a realistic manner.
This entails each conflicting party to forgo some of the gains or demands in order to achieve a balance which would end such conflicts. In other words, it is not possible for either of the conflicting parties to maintain their position of demands or gains without compromising for the sake of a solution.
Therefore, dealing with military conflicts is to deal with quarter of a chance given to solution. This is due to the fact that such a chance could be the only one available to end the conflict. It is necessary to grasp whatever is on the table today instead of hoping for something better that might come to the table tomorrow. This means, the leaders should be extra prudent in grasping today’s opportunities rather than waiting for opportunities that they assume would be better but may never come.
Nonetheless, when things get out of hand, the people who agitate the public will run back to their luxurious lives and abandon people to move from one jail to another, or from poverty and more poverty. Such people should refrain from political stances that are not suitable even for an olive seller.
Finally, conflicts, which affect the price of oil, are not considered as conflicts unless the military is involved and major powers interfere in them. When this happens, it becomes necessary for the leaders to expedite solutions for peace while taking into consideration the gains and preventing the loss of these gains.
As long as the interests of the people is the focus of the leader, the latter will gain respect and enter history through its wide doors.
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Twitter – @alzmi1969
By Yousef Awadh Al-Azmi
“Concentration is the secret of strength in politics, in war, in trade, or in short, in the management of all human affairs” – Ralph Waldo Emerson (1803-1882)