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The Iranian Supreme Leader in hiding is nothing but a scarecrow

publish time

20/07/2026

publish time

20/07/2026

The Iranian Supreme Leader in hiding is nothing but a scarecrow
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Farmers put scarecrows in their fields to frighten birds and prevent them from damaging the crops. After the assassination of former Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the appointment of his son as his successor, it seems that whoever rules Iran today is merely a scarecrow. The successor of Ali Khamenei has not even appeared till date. He was absent from his father’s funeral, while statements are issued in his name.

It appears that Iran has transitioned from religious fascism to military and security fascism. Clearly, the Revolutionary Guard is in control and it is working to weaken the Iranian presidency, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Parliament. If we consider that Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf served as an officer and head of the Khatam Al-Anbiya Construction headquarters, it indicates that civilian rule no longer exists. The absence of the Iranian Supreme Leader from important political and military events while his country is at war means that he is merely a scarecrow used only when needed. Iran resembles a multi-headed state, each faction exerting its power over the others—its neighbors and the world—through statements attributed to the elusive Supreme Leader.

Consequently, Tehran reneged on the Memorandum of Understanding signed with the United States, provoking the world through the Strait of Hormuz. The Revolutionary Guard continues to blackmail neighboring countries, hoping to achieve certain objectives. Reality always contradicts dreams, especially those of a midsummer night. The Revolutionary Guard’s attacks will backfire on it sooner rather than later. In the past, we were accustomed to the Iranian Supreme Leader appearing in important occasions. Khomeini used to deliver direct public speeches.

Khamenei was also keen on addressing his people and the world, even in the most difficult circumstances. It has been almost five months since the assassination of the previous Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, yet his successor remains out of the public eye. According to reports citing Iranian officials, the Iranian leadership fears that the Supreme Leader will be targeted; hence, his reluctance to appear in person and his reliance on written statements. Information leaked from Iranian officials, however, indicates that the Supreme Leader was injured, his face disfigured, and limbs amputated in the same attack that killed his father. This confirms that the ‘third Supreme Leader’ is nothing more than a ‘scarecrow’.

Iranian narratives regarding certain news and figures are characterized by absolute secrecy. Therefore, it is certain that the Iranian Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, will remain merely a scarecrow until he appears, if he ever does. This hypothesis is supported by the extremely sensitive internal situation in Iran. The embers of public anger smolder beneath the ashes of the war that the Iranian regime, particularly the Revolutionary Guard, is exploiting to protect its own financial and economic empire, which is bigger than the entire Iranian economy. The Iranian regime will not easily abandon its financial empire. The Revolutionary Guard uses the Mojtaba Khamenei scarecrow whenever it feels weak. Thus, the Revolutionary Guard attributes its statements to the Supreme Leader to evade responsibility.