When you read the Iranian threats, you might erroneously imagine the Revolutionary Guard stationed at the gates of the White House in Washington, and that Donald Trump is begging the world to sit at the negotiating table with Tehran, surrendering unconditionally.
As previously noted, this arrogance is a Persian trait, but it is merely a facade for imminent ruin and a resounding defeat. Consequently, the war is destined to conclude solely on international terms, primarily dictated by America. These terms are based on changing the aggressive and terrorist behavior that has plagued the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and their peoples for five decades, while hindering development in the region as a whole.
There are many indications that the regime currently lacks a true leader, following the assassination of former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Thus, while the Foreign Affairs Ministry of Tehran denies any talks with Washington, the Foreign Affairs Minister himself announced receiving communications from American negotiator Steve Witkoff. This contradiction began with the hollow apology of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian to the Gulf Arab states, only for the Revolutionary Guard to bomb the GCC countries within hours, as if to say, “I am in charge.” We witnessed a similar situation, even worse, during the Iran-Iraq War. Iranian suicide attacks on the Iraqi border were almost daily occurrences.
Despite this, the first Supreme Leader of the Khomeini regime ultimately had to swallow the bitter pill, admitting defeat after eight years of stubborn resistance. The war claimed more than two million lives on both sides, displaced about five million and cost $600 billion, not to mention the destruction of the infrastructure of the two countries. Despite this, it is true that the fascist regime methodically sought to destabilize all Arab countries, turning Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen and Syria into havens for terrorist gangs that wreaked havoc.
However, with the end of the current war, all these arms will cease to exist. If Syria has rid itself of that regime, thanks to its revolution, then Lebanon is on the same path, followed by Iraq, and then Yemen.
At that point, the region will be much more stable. In the current stubbornness of the regime, the situation is not really different from the past, albeit the difference is that the war will not last as long as the Iran-Iraq War. The end is very near. All indicators confirm that Tehran is now powerless and incapable of resistance. It will likely need 30 years to recover, with radical changes to the regime, which is now much weaker than before this round of fighting. This outcome is clear. Notwithstanding the decision and statements made by American President Donald Trump about the consequences of the conflict in his recent speech, the GCC states remain the major stakeholders in the post-war scenario.
These nations have been the first to suffer from Iranian terrorist activities for five decades. They have received a significant number of missiles and drones, whether from Iran or from militias supported by it in Iraq, during the current conflict. Therefore, they have more right than any other party to set the conditions for the next phase and the coming 50 years, at the very least, by engaging with a civilized Iranian regime that honors the principles of good neighborliness and understands the meaning of international relations. Furthermore, the enormous direct and indirect losses suffered by our nations must be positioned at the heart of any Gulf negotiations with Tehran, irrespective of the decisions made by the United States of America.